2019 NBA Finals Preview: Will the Raptors Be the Warriors' Toughest Challenge Yet?
MOST INTRIGUING STORYLINE: WHO'LL BE THE BEST Participant ON THE FLOOR?
This question can be an extension of something The Crossover touched on prior to the start of conference finals-who is the best basketball player on the globe? It can be a reductive thought, however in the context of 1 series, having the best player is (clearly) very significant. Both Kawhi Leonard and Stephen Curry submitted exemplary performances in the last round. Kawhi averaged 29.9 points every game against the Dollars, collecting 9.5 rebounds and 4.3 assists per night while also participating in the very best defense of anyone this season against Giannis Antetokounmpo. Curry got arguably the best playoff series of his job against the Blazers, averaging 36.5 points per game, hitting over six threes each contest.
If the ultimate matchup in the Finals is Kawhi vs Steph, Toronto should think a bit better about its chances. Curry can certainly still wreck a staff by himself, but Leonard’s two-way impact is preferable to anyone else’s on earth right now. If Durant isn’t participating in, Leonard will draw a far more favorable matchup offensively, and he can concentrate his defensive initiatives on Steph. Durant’s return would complicate that problem dramatically. If KD is healthful, he can credibly check Leonard on one end, and score more easily than him on the other.
The battle between your most talented players on to the floor will be illustrative of the bigger series at hand. Kawhi includes a likelihood to outplay Steph if Curry can be his biggest target, and that provides the Raptors a legitimate probability to gain. If KD returns, Toronto’s odds of winning are a lot more perilous.
Toronto Raptors v Golden Express Warriors
Noah Graham/NBAE via Getty Images
ONE THING TO VIEW: HOW Might THE RAPTORS DEFEND THE STEPH-DRAYMOND PICK AND ROLL?
I wrote more wide-ranging thoughts about Toronto’s defensive issues earlier this week, but its biggest test is definitely the Curry-Draymond Green pick and roll. That play killed both the Rockets and Blazers in Durant’s absence, and it’s the action that in essence delivered the NBA scrambling for mobile centers and small-ball lineups after its emergence in the 2014-15 season. Without Durant, the Warriors possess played considerably more lineups with a center on the floor, but have still gone tiny for stretches with famous brands Alfonzo McKinnie or Jordan Bell on the courtroom. Toronto gets the personnel to take up a switching defense if it wishes, The Raptors can theoretically set Pascal Siakam, Danny Green, and Kawhi in the frontcourt to counter Golden State’s athleticism, though that group could available the entranceway to offensive rebounds. Toronto will have to play a much different style of defense against the Dubs compared to the Bucks, but the collective IQ of the Raptors’ roster ought to be better equipped for the task than most teams.
If Toronto can find the formula to snuff out Golden State’s pet play, in that case this series becomes far more interesting. The Warriors had been operating roughshod through the Blazers’ slow-footed bigs in the meeting finals, also finding success with a Steph-Kevon Looney choose and roll. The Raptors can mitigate that by keeping Marc Gasol off the ground and playing extra of Serge Ibaka at middle. That chess match, which at its main is about protecting against Curry from getting space from three, will come to be especially important in the fourth quarter.
X-FACTOR: GOLDEN STATE’S HEALTH
Kevin Durant has gone out for Game 1. DeMarcus Cousins is normally questionable. Andre Iguodala is definitely returning from a calf injury. The Warriors’ health is exactly what will swing this series. If Durant can’t go, Golden State is in a tricky location. If Cousins is preparing to play, the Raptors will likely be forced to counter with an increase of bulk. If Iguodala re-aggravates his injury, the Warriors may not be able to play as many small lineups. The occurrence of these three players will loom large over this series. It could be great if both teams were at total strength-Toronto would wish to have OG Anunoby right now, though a return is certainly possible-but health will absolutely be a element in how this series has out. With Durant currently out, the Raptors will be the bigger beneficiaries headed into Video game 1.
THE PICK: WARRIORS IN SIX
If Durant were eliminated for the series, I believe I would select the Raptors. That is a worse release of the 2016 Warriors team that shed to the Cavaliers, and I think this Toronto workforce could replicate a few of what Cleveland did to give the Dubs trouble. Kawhi is certainly on another level, and the Raptors have sufficient defenders to toss at a Durant-less squad. But I likewise think if Golden Point out is in serious threat of losing, KD will go back and tip the balance of the series. I’m certainly not questioning the severity of Durant’s injury, rather thinking he will push through whatever he has to push through to ensure the Warriors pull off the three-peat. Even if he didn’t take up, it’s not like this series will be a walk in the park for the Raptors. After all, we simply just saw what Curry can perform by himself. The Raptors can make this a fight, but I believe the Warriors’ run involves somewhat of an end this month with one more trophy.
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